Be
wary of polling in this environment. "In our NBC-Marist poll of Florida,
Romney leads with landline respondents, 48%-45%. But Obama leads among
cell phone respondents, 57%-34%. And in Virginia, Romney’s up one among
landline folks, 47%-46%, while Obama is up 54%-36% with cell users." http:// firstread.msnbc.msn.com/_news/ 2012/05/24/ 11859035-first-thoughts-mr-48
And this is just one variable. In addition, there's an overall issue with statistical polling in this environment. It's based on a model that assumes that there are no connections between those being polled. With the Internet and the 24 hr, 7 day cable news, the population is too volatile. And, it doesn't account for emergent behavior.
And this is just one variable. In addition, there's an overall issue with statistical polling in this environment. It's based on a model that assumes that there are no connections between those being polled. With the Internet and the 24 hr, 7 day cable news, the population is too volatile. And, it doesn't account for emergent behavior.