This is a very interesting report by Gartner recently issued.
"A Nexus of converging forces — social, mobile, cloud and information —
is building upon and transforming user behavior while creating new
Research over the past several years has identified the independent
evolution of four powerful forces: social, mobile, cloud and
information. As a result of consumerization and the ubiquity of
connected smart devices, people's behavior has caused a convergence of
these forces. This user-centric convergence was highlighted at
Symposium/ITxpo 2011, where the keynote touched on the story emerging
around the Nexus and raised a warning to senior IT leaders: Their
existing architectures are becoming obsolete"
While this is well worth reading, keep in mind that the basic assumption behind this analysis is that the consumerization of the economy is sustainable. This is an assumption that I'm not all sure is true. But, we've demonstrated no strong candidate to replace it, and we seem to have limited desire to change. As we concentrate more and more wealth at the top, we are destroying the consumer market.
And, there are smaller assumptions like, "Through the window in their palm, they are never alone, never lost, and never bored." I seriously doubt that this statement is true.
And, they confuse complicatedness with complexity. "Most technology goes through cycles of development and change in both
internal and external complexity. Often, the very first device is
simple, but crude. As the device undergoes the early stages of
development, its power and efficiency improve, but so does its
complexity. As the technology matures, however, simpler, more effective
ways of doing things are developed, and the device becomes easier to
use, although usually by becoming more complex inside."
So, read it, but with your critical thinking hat on.
The Nexus of Forces: Foundational Research for the Technical Professional, Chris Howard, David Smith, Daryl Plummer, Yvonne Genovese, David Willis and Jeffrey Mann, Gartner, Inc., June 22, 2012